creditworthiness of Japan decreases
The debt of the Japanese state is now at 200 percent of the gross national product. Growth the debt continues inexorably, while the economic output shrinks at record pace. The rating agency Moody's has lowered the credit in May 2009 of Japan by two steps (to Aa2). This means that the agency, the failure risk Japan regards as higher! Nevertheless, Japanese savers continue to buy Japanese government bonds. Nor, mind you. Should Japan get into a spin, that would be a disaster for the world economy, as well as the U.S., UK and many other countries are already on the brink of self-generated spiral of debt. Even Germany and the euro area do not stand very well.
The big question is, when is it dangerous. As long as the savers buy government bonds, is still all right. The excess capacity of the industries currently limit the risk of hyperinflation. These capacities are, however, degraded by the world's reluctance step by step. How long this process is still shrinking? A year? Three years? Seven years? Ten years?
short term, one should not panic, not so fast decreases the Titanic, on the other hand, one should remain vigilant because the debt is forever sauce can not go on.
recommended For more information: "The world economic crisis and debt crisis" by Tomasz Konicz on Heise.de
Friday, June 26, 2009
Monday, June 22, 2009
Buy Honey Rose Cigarettes
Bundesbank confirmed hoarding
confirmed in its latest monthly report, the German Federal Bank of hoarding tendencies.
"Assuming a transaction cash balances of 10% of banknotes in circulation and shall be in addition an external demand basis of 25% to 35%, no nothing for the hoarding of the lions share of 55% to 65%. "(Bundesbank, Monthly Report, June 2009, p. 58)
serves only 10% of cash in the real domestic economy and 90% of the money for speculative purposes. an international context, it is even 99% of the money used speculative.
Since I deal with negative interest rates and, in particular with regional money, economists have often stated that there were now no serious money-hoarding more. Therefore need it, no anti-hoarding fee as indicated by the sticker in the Chiemgau or by a negative interest rate in eChiemgauer is practiced.
also expected that the German Bundesbank, die Hedgefonds immer wieder gelobt und dafür das Chiemgauer Regiogeld heftig kritisiert hat, nun die Beweise für die Stimmigkeit von Regiogeldern mit Negativzins abliefert, ist erstaunlich und wohltuend.
(Ich danke Dr. Eva-Maria Hubert für den Hinweis auf den Monatsbericht.)
confirmed in its latest monthly report, the German Federal Bank of hoarding tendencies.
"Assuming a transaction cash balances of 10% of banknotes in circulation and shall be in addition an external demand basis of 25% to 35%, no nothing for the hoarding of the lions share of 55% to 65%. "(Bundesbank, Monthly Report, June 2009, p. 58)
serves only 10% of cash in the real domestic economy and 90% of the money for speculative purposes. an international context, it is even 99% of the money used speculative.
Since I deal with negative interest rates and, in particular with regional money, economists have often stated that there were now no serious money-hoarding more. Therefore need it, no anti-hoarding fee as indicated by the sticker in the Chiemgau or by a negative interest rate in eChiemgauer is practiced.
also expected that the German Bundesbank, die Hedgefonds immer wieder gelobt und dafür das Chiemgauer Regiogeld heftig kritisiert hat, nun die Beweise für die Stimmigkeit von Regiogeldern mit Negativzins abliefert, ist erstaunlich und wohltuend.
(Ich danke Dr. Eva-Maria Hubert für den Hinweis auf den Monatsbericht.)
Chiemgauer 2007
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